silkywhisky
Arran / Island

ARRAN Barrel Reserve

0.56× hidden gem NAS rating 4.7/5 · n=23
cheapest
€29.25
topdrinks
intrinsic
€73.55
N
3

Is it worth the price?

ARRAN Barrel Reserve is an Island single malt Scotch from the Arran distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.7 out of 5 across 23 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €29.25 to €67.50, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €73.55. That is 0.56× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. Of the 13 Arran bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €29.25
thewhiskyshop €40.83
whisky.fr €67.50

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.65 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Island
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€73.55
Actual price (median)
€40.83
Multiple
0.56×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.05
Cost floor
€25.64

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    independent revival distillery; classic methods
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Isle of Arran Distillers (independent) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1995 (31 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.6522/5 across 23 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€40.60
Actual price (median)
€40.83
Multiple
1.01×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Island · rolling 12 months: 2,254 mm at Monyquil Farm (15 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,543 mm, +39.90% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Arran