silkywhisky

AULTMORE 15 Years Old 2009 Refill American Hogshead Connoiseurs Choice Gordon & Macphail

1.13× fair value 15yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€183.00
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€161.58
N
1

Is it worth the price?

AULTMORE 15 Years Old 2009 Refill American Hogshead Connoiseurs Choice Gordon & Macphail is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Aultmore distillery, bottled at 15 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €183.00, against a model fair price of around €161.58. That is 1.13× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. Of the 2 Aultmore bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €183.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
15yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€161.58
Actual price (median)
€183.00
Multiple
1.13×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (15 × €1.20/year)
€30.48
Cask premium (refill bourbon)
€-2.00
× ABV factor
×1.35
Cost floor
€51.68
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    one of Dewar's Last Great Malts; expanded to 6M LPA in 2024
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    refill bourbon
    2 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    57.3% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    Bacardi / John Dewar & Sons — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1896 (130 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    1 / 3
Quality score
12 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.00
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€103.36
Actual price (median)
€183.00
Multiple
1.77×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 773 mm at Keith (4 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,235 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Aultmore