silkywhisky
Balblair / Highland

BALBLAIR 21 Years Old

1.25× mild premium 21yo rating 4.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€347.49
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€278.07
N
1

Is it worth the price?

BALBLAIR 21 Years Old is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Balblair distillery, bottled at 21 years old. Tasters score it 4.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €347.49, against a model fair price of around €278.07. That is 1.25× the model estimate — a mild premium over what its age, strength and house predict. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 4 Balblair bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €347.49

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.00 / 5
Age
21yo
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Premium Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€278.07
Actual price (median)
€347.49
Multiple
1.25×
Verdict band
mild premium (1.20× < … ≤ 2.00×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (21 × €1.20/year)
€54.72
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.15
Cost floor
€77.42
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Inver House Distillers (Thai Beverage) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1790 (236 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.0/5 across 1 review
    1 / 3
Quality score
10 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.83
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€141.93
Actual price (median)
€347.49
Multiple
2.45×
Verdict band
brand premium

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 759 mm at Milton of Evelix TBR (8 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Balblair