silkywhisky
Balblair / Highland

BALBLAIR 21 Years Old

1.15× fair value 21yo rating 4.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€349.41
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€320.32
N
2

Is it worth the price?

BALBLAIR 21 Years Old is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Balblair distillery, bottled at 21 years old. Tasters score it 4.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. It is tracked at 2 retailers, ranging from €349.41 to €390.00, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €320.32. That is 1.15× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. Of the 4 Balblair bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €349.41
whisky.fr €390.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.00 / 5
Age
21yo
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€320.32
Actual price (median)
€369.71
Multiple
1.15×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
€12.60
Maturation (21 × €1.20/year)
€54.72
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.10
Cost floor
€74.05
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Inver House Distillers (Thai Beverage) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1790 (236 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.0/5 across 1 review
    1 / 3
Quality score
10 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.83
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€135.76
Actual price (median)
€369.71
Multiple
2.72×
Verdict band
brand premium

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 707 mm at Milton of Evelix TBR (8 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,235 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Balblair