Is it worth the price?
CAOL ILA 9 Years Old 2016 New American Oak Barrels Elixir Distillers is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Caol Ila distillery, bottled at 9 years old. Tasters score it 4.0 out of 5 across 2 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €69.00, against a model fair price of around €60.35. That is 1.14× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 12 Caol Ila bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.
Retailers tracked
| Retailer | Price |
|---|---|
| whisky.fr | €69.00 |
How we got this number
The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.
- Rating
- 4.00 / 5
- Age
- 9yo
- Region
- Islay
- Distillery tier
- Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
- Predicted price
- €60.35
- Actual price (median)
- €69.00
- Multiple
- 1.14×
- Verdict band
- fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)
Methodology estimate
The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.
- Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
- €9.80
- Maturation (9 × €1.20/year)
- €14.46
- Cask premium (undeclared)
- +€0.00
- × ABV factor
- ×1.20
- Cost floor
- €29.11
- Process distinctnesslarge-volume Islay production; standard methods0 / 3
- Cask provenancecask type not declared on bottle0 / 3
- Bottling integrity48.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed2 / 3
- OwnershipDiageo — production-led corporate1 / 3
- Heritagefounded 1846 (180 years of operation)3 / 3
- Reputation4.0/5 across 2 reviews0 / 3
- Quality score
- 6 / 18
- Quality multiplier
- ×1.50
- Intrinsic value
- €43.66
- Actual price (median)
- €69.00
- Multiple
- 1.58×
- Verdict band
- mild premium
Maturation context
Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,593 mm at Lingerton (46 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.
Other bottlings from Caol Ila
- CAOL ILA 20 Years Old 1995 Hogshead Signatory Vintage €195.00 · 0.49×
- CAOL ILA 12 Years Old €39.94 · 0.49×
- CAOL ILA 13 Years Old Smoky Discovery Gordon & Macphail €65.00 · 0.68×
- CAOL ILA Moch €43.50 · 0.73×
- CAOL ILA 9 Years Old 2017 1st Fill Rivesaltes Small Batch Signatory Vintage €59.90 · 1.08×
- CAOL ILA 13 Years Old 2009 The Dava Way New Vibrations €170.00 · 1.13×