silkywhisky
Cardhu / Speyside

CARDHU 12 Years Old

0.86× fair value 12yo rating 4.4/5 · n=41
cheapest
€33.15
photo
intrinsic
€46.63
N
4

Is it worth the price?

CARDHU 12 Years Old is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Cardhu distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 4.4 out of 5 across 41 reviews. It is tracked at 4 retailers, ranging from €33.15 to €45.52, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €46.63. That is 0.86× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. Of the 4 Cardhu bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
photo €33.15
topdrinks €39.85
whisky.fr €39.90
thewhiskyshop €45.52

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.41 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€46.63
Actual price (median)
€39.88
Multiple
0.86×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€31.44
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    40.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1824 (202 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.4146/5 across 41 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
8 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.67
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€52.41
Actual price (median)
€39.88
Multiple
0.76×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 774 mm at Delnashaugh (8 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,209 mm, +28.20% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Cardhu