silkywhisky
Craigellachie / Speyside

CRAIGELLACHIE 15 Years Old 2011 #81 100 Proof 1st Fill Oloroso Sherry Butt Signatory Vintage

0.30× hidden gem 15yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€64.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€219.86
N
1

Is it worth the price?

CRAIGELLACHIE 15 Years Old 2011 #81 100 Proof 1st Fill Oloroso Sherry Butt Signatory Vintage is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Craigellachie distillery, bottled at 15 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €64.90, against a model fair price of around €219.86. That is 0.30× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 5 Craigellachie bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €64.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
15yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€219.86
Actual price (median)
€64.90
Multiple
0.30×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (15 × €1.20/year)
€30.48
Cask premium (first fill sherry)
+€12.00
× ABV factor
×1.43
Cost floor
€74.63
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    first fill sherry (cask #81)
    3 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    57.1% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    Bacardi / John Dewar & Sons — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1891 (135 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    3 / 3
Quality score
15 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.25
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€167.92
Actual price (median)
€64.90
Multiple
0.39×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 799 mm at Aberlour (2 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,323 mm, +37.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Craigellachie