silkywhisky

CRAIGELLACHIE 15 Years Old 2011 #81 100 Proof 1st Fill Oloroso Sherry Butt Signatory Vintage

0.58× hidden gem 15yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€64.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€112.15
N
1

Is it worth the price?

CRAIGELLACHIE 15 Years Old 2011 #81 100 Proof 1st Fill Oloroso Sherry Butt Signatory Vintage is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Craigellachie distillery, bottled at 15 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €64.90, against a model fair price of around €112.15. That is 0.58× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. Of the 5 Craigellachie bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €64.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
15yo
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€112.15
Actual price (median)
€64.90
Multiple
0.58×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (15 × €1.20/year)
€30.48
Cask premium (first fill sherry)
+€12.00
× ABV factor
×1.35
Cost floor
€70.58
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    first fill sherry (cask #81)
    3 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    57.1% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    Bacardi / John Dewar & Sons — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1891 (135 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    3 / 3
Quality score
15 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.25
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€158.81
Actual price (median)
€64.90
Multiple
0.41×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 773 mm at Aberlour (2 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,209 mm, +28.20% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Craigellachie