Kilkerran 16 Years Old
Is it worth the price?
Kilkerran 16 Years Old is a Campbeltown single malt Scotch from the Glengyle distillery, bottled at 16 years old. Tasters score it 4.3 out of 5 across 50 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €83.68, against a model fair price of around €162.40. That is 0.52× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 3 Glengyle bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.
Retailers tracked
| Retailer | Price |
|---|---|
| thewhiskyshop | €83.68 |
How we got this number
The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.
- Rating
- 4.30 / 5
- Age
- 16yo
- Region
- Campbeltown
- Distillery tier
- Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
- Predicted price
- €162.40
- Actual price (median)
- €83.68
- Multiple
- 0.52×
- Verdict band
- hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)
Methodology estimate
The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.
- Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
- €17.50
- Maturation (16 × €1.20/year)
- €33.86
- Cask premium (undeclared)
- +€0.00
- × ABV factor
- ×1.00
- Cost floor
- €51.36
- Process distinctnessSpringbank's sister revived 2004; ~80k LAP actual (Oct-Dec only); bottled as Kilkerran2 / 3
- Cask provenancecask type not declared on bottle0 / 3
- Bottling integrityABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed0 / 3
- OwnershipJ&A Mitchell (Mitchell family) — family multigenerational3 / 3
- Heritagefounded 2004 (22 years of operation)1 / 3
- Reputation4.3/5 across 50 reviews1 / 3
- Quality score
- 7 / 18
- Quality multiplier
- ×1.58
- Intrinsic value
- €81.32
- Actual price (median)
- €83.68
- Multiple
- 1.03×
- Verdict band
- fair value
Maturation context
Campbeltown · rolling 12 months: 1,849 mm at Dippen (19 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.
Other bottlings from Glengyle
- Kilkerran 12 Years Old €66.95 · 0.73×
- Kilkerran 8 Years Old Bourbon Cask Strength €82.51 · 1.91×