silkywhisky
Inchgower / Speyside

INCHGOWER Madeira Finish Murray McDavid

0.56× hidden gem NAS rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€38.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€69.25
N
1

Is it worth the price?

INCHGOWER Madeira Finish Murray McDavid is a Speyside single malt Scotch from the Inchgower distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €38.90, against a model fair price of around €69.25. That is 0.56× the model estimate — well below what its age, strength and house predict, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €38.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Speyside
Distillery tier
Budget Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€69.25
Actual price (median)
€38.90
Multiple
0.56×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (wine)
+€10.00
× ABV factor
×1.11
Cost floor
€29.73

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    dunnage and racked warehouses on the coast; deliberately cloudy wort; short 46h fermentation; descending lyne arms restricting reflux; wide cut collected down to 55%; shell-and-tube condensers (historic worms gone); mostly fills Bell’s blends; liquidated 1903, closed until Buckie Council bought it in 1936
    1 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    wine
    1 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    44.5% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    1 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo (via Arthur Bell & Sons 1938, Guinness 1985, Diageo 1997) — production-led corporate
    1 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1871 (155 years of operation); closed until buckie council bought it in 1936
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    3 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€52.02
Actual price (median)
€38.90
Multiple
0.75×
Verdict band
hidden gem

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 568 mm at Dallachy No 2 (6 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.