silkywhisky
Kilchoman / Islay

KILCHOMAN Machir Bay Coffret 2 Verres

0.70× hidden gem NAS rating 4.9/5 · n=14
cheapest
€76.90
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€110.30
N
1

Is it worth the price?

KILCHOMAN Machir Bay Coffret 2 Verres is an Islay single malt Scotch from the Kilchoman distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.9 out of 5 across 14 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €76.90, against a model fair price of around €110.30. That is 0.70× the model estimate — well below the quality-predicted price, and one of the clearer value picks in the data. It is one of 15 Kilchoman bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €76.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.93 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Islay
Distillery tier
Premium
Result
Predicted price
€110.30
Actual price (median)
€76.90
Multiple
0.70×
Verdict band
hidden gem (≤ 0.80×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.10
Cost floor
€26.86

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    partial estate barley / floor malting on site; on-site floor malting; field-to-bottle 100% Islay range
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle; partial single-estate malt
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    46.0% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    2 / 3
  • Ownership
    Anthony Wills (founder family) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 2005 (21 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.9286/5 across 14 reviews
    2 / 3
Quality score
9 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.75
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€47.01
Actual price (median)
€76.90
Multiple
1.64×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Islay · rolling 12 months: 1,867 mm at Dippen (63 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

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