silkywhisky
Macduff / Highland

The Deveron 10 Years Old

0.91× fair value 10yo rating 3.7/5 · n=4
cheapest
€31.90
topdrinks
intrinsic
€35.05
N
1

Is it worth the price?

The Deveron 10 Years Old is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Macduff distillery, bottled at 10 years old. Tasters score it 3.7 out of 5 across 4 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €31.90, against a model fair price of around €35.05. That is 0.91× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 2 Macduff bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €31.90

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
3.70 / 5
Age
10yo
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Budget Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€35.05
Actual price (median)
€31.90
Multiple
0.91×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (10 × €1.20/year)
€16.69
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€26.49
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Bacardi / John Dewar & Sons — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1960 (66 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    3.7/5 across 4 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€39.73
Actual price (median)
€31.90
Multiple
0.80×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 560 mm at Cullen (19 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,298 mm, +33.30% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Macduff