silkywhisky

OBAN 12 Years Old Special Release 2025

1.16× fair value 12yo rating 5.0/5 · n=1
cheapest
€115.00
whisky.fr
intrinsic
€122.50
N
3

Is it worth the price?

OBAN 12 Years Old Special Release 2025 is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Oban distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 1 reviews. It is tracked at 3 retailers, ranging from €115.00 to €162.71, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €122.50. That is 1.16× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 4 Oban bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whisky.fr €115.00
topdrinks €141.95
thewhiskyshop €162.71

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
5.00 / 5
Age
12yo
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€122.50
Actual price (median)
€141.95
Multiple
1.16×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
€21.64
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.37
Cost floor
€53.53
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    no declared distinctive practices
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    54.7% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    3 / 3
  • Ownership
    Diageo (prestige range) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1794 (232 years of operation)
    3 / 3
  • Reputation
    5.0/5 across 1 review
    3 / 3
Quality score
13 / 18
Quality multiplier
×2.08
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€111.52
Actual price (median)
€141.95
Multiple
1.27×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 1,660 mm at Dunstaffnage (4 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Oban