Is it worth the price?
LEDAIG 12 Years Old Smoky Discovery Gordon & Macphail is an Island single malt Scotch from the Tobermory distillery, bottled at 12 years old. Tasters score it 5.0 out of 5 across 2 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €65.00, against a model fair price of around €53.27. That is 1.22× the model estimate — a mild premium over what its age, strength and house predict. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 5 Tobermory bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.
Retailers tracked
| Retailer | Price |
|---|---|
| whisky.fr | €65.00 |
How we got this number
The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.
- Rating
- 5.00 / 5
- Age
- 12yo
- Region
- Island
- Distillery tier
- Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
- Predicted price
- €53.27
- Actual price (median)
- €65.00
- Multiple
- 1.22×
- Verdict band
- mild premium (1.20× < … ≤ 2.00×)
Methodology estimate
The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.
- Production (€0.18/cl × 70 cl)
- €12.60
- Maturation (12 × €1.20/year)
- €21.64
- Cask premium (undeclared)
- +€0.00
- × ABV factor
- ×1.08
- Cost floor
- €36.81
- Process distinctnessproduces both Tobermory and Ledaig2 / 3
- Cask provenancecask type not declared on bottle0 / 3
- Bottling integrity43.0% ABV; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed1 / 3
- OwnershipDistell (Heineken) — independent or smaller group2 / 3
- Heritagefounded 1798 (228 years of operation)3 / 3
- Reputation5.0/5 across 2 reviews2 / 3
- Quality score
- 10 / 18
- Quality multiplier
- ×1.83
- Intrinsic value
- €67.49
- Actual price (median)
- €65.00
- Multiple
- 0.96×
- Verdict band
- fair value
Maturation context
Island · rolling 12 months: 2,313 mm at Tobermory (1 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.
Other bottlings from Tobermory
- LEDAIG Sinclair Series Rioja Cask Finish €46.00 · 0.82×
- TOBERMORY 12 Years Old €44.00 · 0.86×
- LEDAIG 18 Years Old €108.08 · 1.27×
- LEDAIG 10 Years Old Un-chillfiltered €61.00 · 1.34×