Is it worth the price?
ARRAN 15 Years Old Peated Sherry Butts Rare Batch is an Island single malt Scotch from the Arran distillery, bottled at 15 years old. Tasters score it 4.5 out of 5 across 2 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €175.00, against a model fair price of around €157.52. That is 1.11× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. It is one of 14 Arran bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.
Retailers tracked
| Retailer | Price |
|---|---|
| whisky.fr | €175.00 |
How we got this number
The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.
- Rating
- 4.50 / 5
- Age
- 15yo
- Region
- Island
- Distillery tier
- Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
- Predicted price
- €157.52
- Actual price (median)
- €175.00
- Multiple
- 1.11×
- Verdict band
- fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)
Methodology estimate
The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.
- Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
- €17.50
- Maturation (15 × €1.20/year)
- €30.48
- Cask premium (ex sherry)
- +€8.00
- × ABV factor
- ×1.36
- Cost floor
- €76.14
- Process distinctnessindependent revival distillery; classic methods1 / 3
- Cask provenanceex sherry1 / 3
- Bottling integrity54.4% ABV; non-chill-filtered inferred from ABV; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed3 / 3
- OwnershipIsle of Arran Distillers (independent) — independent or smaller group2 / 3
- Heritagefounded 1995 (31 years of operation)1 / 3
- Reputation4.5/5 across 2 reviews2 / 3
- Quality score
- 10 / 18
- Quality multiplier
- ×1.83
- Intrinsic value
- €139.58
- Actual price (median)
- €175.00
- Multiple
- 1.25×
- Verdict band
- mild premium
Maturation context
Island · rolling 12 months: 2,249 mm at Monyquil Farm (15 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.
Other bottlings from Arran
- ARRAN Barrel Reserve €31.95 · 0.71×
- ARRAN Quarter Cask "The Bothy" €69.90 · 0.75×
- ARRAN Sherry Cask "The Bodega" €72.90 · 0.78×
- ARRAN The Port Cask Finish €54.65 · 0.81×
- ARRAN The Sauternes Cask Finish €54.95 · 0.84×
- ARRAN Robert Burns Malt €39.95 · 0.85×