silkywhisky

Speyburn 10 Years Old

0.99× fair value 10yo rating 3.9/5 · n=100
cheapest
€33.62
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€33.79
N
1

Is it worth the price?

Speyburn 10 Years Old is a single malt Scotch from the Speyburn distillery, bottled at 10 years old. Tasters score it 3.9 out of 5 across 100 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €33.62, against a model fair price of around €33.79. That is 0.99× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. Of the 2 Speyburn bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €33.62

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
3.91 / 5
Age
10yo
Region
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€33.79
Actual price (median)
€33.62
Multiple
0.99×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (10 × €1.20/year)
€16.69
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€26.49
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    doubled capacity in a 2014 expansion
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Inver House Distillers (Thai Beverage) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1897 (129 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    3.91/5 across 100 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€39.73
Actual price (median)
€33.62
Multiple
0.85×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 765 mm at Aberlour (6 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Speyburn