silkywhisky
Speyburn

Speyburn 15 Years Old

0.89× fair value 15yo rating 4.2/5 · n=60
cheapest
€60.50
topdrinks
intrinsic
€70.40
N
2

Is it worth the price?

Speyburn 15 Years Old is a single malt Scotch from the Speyburn distillery, bottled at 15 years old. Tasters score it 4.2 out of 5 across 60 reviews. It is tracked at 2 retailers, ranging from €60.50 to €64.91, while the valuation model estimates a fair price of around €70.40. That is 0.89× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. Of the 2 Speyburn bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
topdrinks €60.50
thewhiskyshop €64.91

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.20 / 5
Age
15yo
Region
—
Distillery tier
Budget
Result
Predicted price
€70.40
Actual price (median)
€62.71
Multiple
0.89×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.14/cl × 70 cl)
€9.80
Maturation (15 × €1.20/year)
€30.48
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€40.28
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    doubled capacity in a 2014 expansion
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Inver House Distillers (Thai Beverage) — independent or smaller group
    2 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 1897 (129 years of operation)
    2 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.2/5 across 60 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€60.42
Actual price (median)
€62.71
Multiple
1.04×
Verdict band
fair value

Maturation context

Speyside · rolling 12 months: 765 mm at Aberlour (6 km). Scotland N rolling 12-month rainfall2,223 mm, +30.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Speyburn