silkywhisky

Ardnamurchan AD/10 Years Old

1.48× mild premium 10yo rating 4.3/5 · n=50
cheapest
€80.00
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€54.17
N
1

Is it worth the price?

Ardnamurchan AD/10 Years Old is a single malt Scotch from the Ardnamurchan distillery, bottled at 10 years old. Tasters score it 4.3 out of 5 across 50 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €80.00, against a model fair price of around €54.17. That is 1.48× the model estimate — a mild premium over the quality-predicted price. Of the 5 Ardnamurchan bottlings priced here, this is the weakest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €80.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.30 / 5
Age
10yo
Region
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€54.17
Actual price (median)
€80.00
Multiple
1.48×
Verdict band
mild premium (1.20× < … ≤ 2.00×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (10 × €1.20/year)
€16.69
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€34.19
Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    renewable-energy distillery; peated and unpeated production; bottling on-site
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Adelphi Distillery (independent) — family multigenerational
    3 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 2014 (12 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.3/5 across 50 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€51.28
Actual price (median)
€80.00
Multiple
1.56×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 2,358 mm at Tobermory (12 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

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