silkywhisky
Ardnamurchan

Ardnamurchan Single Malt 2022

0.99× fair value NAS rating 4.2/5 · n=30
cheapest
€73.04
thewhiskyshop
intrinsic
€73.42
N
1

Is it worth the price?

Ardnamurchan Single Malt 2022 is a single malt Scotch from the Ardnamurchan distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.2 out of 5 across 30 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €73.04, against a model fair price of around €73.42. That is 0.99× the model estimate — almost exactly the quality-predicted price, with no meaningful brand premium. It is one of 5 Ardnamurchan bottlings priced here; the others are compared below.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
thewhiskyshop €73.04

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.24 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
—
Distillery tier
Mid
Result
Predicted price
€73.42
Actual price (median)
€73.04
Multiple
0.99×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€24.42

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    renewable-energy distillery; peated and unpeated production; bottling on-site
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Adelphi Distillery (independent) — family multigenerational
    3 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 2014 (12 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.24/5 across 30 reviews
    0 / 3
Quality score
6 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.50
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€36.63
Actual price (median)
€73.04
Multiple
1.99×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 2,358 mm at Tobermory (12 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,524 mm, +43.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Ardnamurchan