silkywhisky
Ardnamurchan / Highland

Ardnamurchan Single Malt

0.96× fair value NAS rating 4.3/5 · n=50
cheapest
€56.00
whiskylodge
intrinsic
€58.30
N
1

Is it worth the price?

Ardnamurchan Single Malt is a Highland single malt Scotch from the Ardnamurchan distillery, released without an age statement. Tasters score it 4.3 out of 5 across 50 reviews. A single retailer lists it at €56.00, against a model fair price of around €58.30. That is 0.96× the model estimate — almost exactly what its age, strength and house predict, with no meaningful brand premium. The estimate is fitted on age, bottling strength and the distillery's other prices; community ratings add no measurable signal to it, so this is not a quality judgement. Typical error is around ±65%, so read the verdict as indicative and trust it most at the extremes. Of the 3 Ardnamurchan bottlings priced here, this is the strongest value.

Retailers tracked

Retailer Price
whiskylodge €56.00

How we got this number

The valuation model predicts a price from this bottling's inputs. The multiple is the actual market price divided by that prediction.

Inputs
Rating
4.33 / 5
Age
No age statement
Region
Highland
Distillery tier
Mid Label only — set from the distillery’s median price, not used by the model.
Result
Predicted price
€58.30
Actual price (median)
€56.00
Multiple
0.96×
Verdict band
fair value (0.80× < … ≤ 1.20×)

See the regression's coefficients →

Methodology estimate

The deterministic model from methodology.md: production cost per litre × bottle size, plus maturation cost per year, plus a cask premium, times an ABV factor — then multiplied by a quality grade summed across six 0–3 axes.

Cost floor
Production (€0.25/cl × 70 cl)
€17.50
Maturation (NAS→5 × €1.20/year)
€6.92
Cask premium (undeclared)
+€0.00
× ABV factor
×1.00
Cost floor
€24.42

NAS treated as 5 years for maturation cost (paper convention).

Quality grade (six 0–3 axes)
  • Process distinctness
    renewable-energy distillery; peated and unpeated production; bottling on-site
    2 / 3
  • Cask provenance
    cask type not declared on bottle
    0 / 3
  • Bottling integrity
    ABV not declared; chill-filtration not disclosed; E150a caramel colouring not disclosed
    0 / 3
  • Ownership
    Adelphi Distillery (independent) — family multigenerational
    3 / 3
  • Heritage
    founded 2014 (12 years of operation)
    1 / 3
  • Reputation
    4.33/5 across 50 reviews
    1 / 3
Quality score
7 / 18
Quality multiplier
×1.58
Intrinsic and multiple
Intrinsic value
€38.67
Actual price (median)
€56.00
Multiple
1.45×
Verdict band
mild premium

Maturation context

Highland · rolling 12 months: 2,313 mm at Tobermory (12 km). Scotland W rolling 12-month rainfall2,451 mm, +33.70% vs 1995-2024 median.

Other bottlings from Ardnamurchan